Стан ринку нерухомості України: ризики і можливості при відновленні міст
Вантажиться...
Дата
2024
Науковий керівник
Укладач
Редактор
Назва журналу
ISSN
2303-9914
E-ISSN
2415-315X
Назва тому
Видавець
Одеський національний університет імені І. І. Мечникова
Анотація
Стаття присвячена вітчизняному ринку нерухомості, який зазнав суттєвих змін з початком військових дій. Метою статті є оцінка стану ринку нерухомості України для виявлення певних ризиків та можливостей при відновленні міст. Визначені ключові фактори, які впливають на ринок нерухомості та ризики, які ускладнюють процес розробки плану та стратегії відновлення міст.
Problem Statement and Purpose. Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 radically changed the real estate market. There are direct and indirect effects of the war on the real estate market. The consequences of a direct impact on the country are physical damage to real estate, which leads to a direct decrease in its value. Ukraine’s real estate market has already suffered losses of almost $59 billion for almost two years of war. And this is only the residential part. Therefore, the article aimed to analyze the state of the Ukrainian real estate market to identify certain risks and opportunities in the reconstruction of cities. Data & Methods. Research materials included works from credible journals, real estate market reports, mass media publications by researchers and real estate market experts, and official websites of the Ministry of Social Policy of Ukraine and the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. During the research, the author used the methodology of scientific knowledge based on general scientific methods, specifically abstractlogical, system analysis, synthesis, and the method of comparisons, and on special methods, including structural-functional approach and analytical. Results. The migration factor was identified as one of the critical factors in the real estate market in the conditions of hostilities throughout Ukraine, as the population’s impact on demand is significant through a change in quantity. Despite significant damage in Kyiv and the Kyiv region, this region has become the most populated by internally displaced persons (IDPs), which has triggered an increase in demand for housing and an increase in prices. The migration factor became an opportunity for Kyiv and the region. The general macroeconomic condition of the Ukrainian economy and its forecast and the presence of the state housing affordability program for the population «yeOselya» are also opportunities in the real estate market. However, the risks remain the uncertainty of the period of the end of the war, the delayed demand related to expectations and more profitable investments, the lack of a single approach to determine the monetary losses caused to the real estate market, and the lack of a single digital resource for the accumulation and processing of data on losses and their assessment. Existing risks complicate the process of developing a plan and strategy for urban recovery. The impact of the war in Ukraine on housing prices will depend, among other things, on the location of real estate.
Problem Statement and Purpose. Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 radically changed the real estate market. There are direct and indirect effects of the war on the real estate market. The consequences of a direct impact on the country are physical damage to real estate, which leads to a direct decrease in its value. Ukraine’s real estate market has already suffered losses of almost $59 billion for almost two years of war. And this is only the residential part. Therefore, the article aimed to analyze the state of the Ukrainian real estate market to identify certain risks and opportunities in the reconstruction of cities. Data & Methods. Research materials included works from credible journals, real estate market reports, mass media publications by researchers and real estate market experts, and official websites of the Ministry of Social Policy of Ukraine and the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. During the research, the author used the methodology of scientific knowledge based on general scientific methods, specifically abstractlogical, system analysis, synthesis, and the method of comparisons, and on special methods, including structural-functional approach and analytical. Results. The migration factor was identified as one of the critical factors in the real estate market in the conditions of hostilities throughout Ukraine, as the population’s impact on demand is significant through a change in quantity. Despite significant damage in Kyiv and the Kyiv region, this region has become the most populated by internally displaced persons (IDPs), which has triggered an increase in demand for housing and an increase in prices. The migration factor became an opportunity for Kyiv and the region. The general macroeconomic condition of the Ukrainian economy and its forecast and the presence of the state housing affordability program for the population «yeOselya» are also opportunities in the real estate market. However, the risks remain the uncertainty of the period of the end of the war, the delayed demand related to expectations and more profitable investments, the lack of a single approach to determine the monetary losses caused to the real estate market, and the lack of a single digital resource for the accumulation and processing of data on losses and their assessment. Existing risks complicate the process of developing a plan and strategy for urban recovery. The impact of the war in Ukraine on housing prices will depend, among other things, on the location of real estate.
Опис
Ключові слова
ринок нерухомості України, повномасштабне вторгнення, фактор міграції, вартість житла, економічна географія України, real estate market of Ukraine, full-scale invasion, migration factor, cost of housing, macroeconomics of Ukraine
Бібліографічний опис
Яворська В. В. Стан ринку нерухомості України: ризики і можливості при відновленні міст / В. В. Яворська, С. Л. Шинкаренко // Вісник Одеського національного університету. Географічні та геологічні науки. – 2024. – Т. 29, вип. 1(44). – С. 177–185.
УДК
911.6