Modeling migration changes according to alternative scenarios in the context of the global Covid-19 pandemic: the example of Ukraine

Скорочена інформація про документ
dc.contributor.authorMaslii, Natalia D.
dc.contributor.authorDemianchuk, Maryna A.
dc.contributor.authorBritchenko, Igor
dc.contributor.authorBezpartochnyi, Maksym
dc.contributor.authorМаслій, Наталя Дмитрівна
dc.contributor.authorДем'янчук, Марина Афанасіївна
dc.contributor.authorМаслий, Наталья Дмитриевна
dc.contributor.authorДемьянчук, Марина Афанасьевна
dc.date.accessioned2022-02-02T10:00:45Z
dc.date.available2022-02-02T10:00:45Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.description.abstractGlobal processes significantly affect the mobility of the population. In the context of geopolitical transformation, globalization and quarantine restrictions of Covid-19, it is important to predict the development of the migration movement of countries that are developing. Therefore, the article is aimed at modelling migration changes according to alternative scenarios using the example of Ukraine. The theoretical and methodological basis of the research is formed by a number of scientific works of leading scientists from different countries, statistical information on migration processes and socio-economic indicators of Ukraine’s development, economic, mathematical and scenario methods. In the course of the study, the main factors were identified that more affect the migration processes of Ukraine, taking into account the trends in the impact of Covid-19 on them. These include population size, life expectancy, GDP per capita, average monthly wages, and the volume of remittances from individuals to Ukraine. With the help of correlation-regression analysis, a multivariate econometric model of migration growth (reduction) has been built. This made it possible to study the absolute and relative influence of factors on the magnitude of the migration increase (decrease), determine the potential reserves for its increase (decrease), evaluate them using a comparative analysis and carry out predictive calculations of the volume of migration increase (decrease) in Ukraine.uk_UA
dc.identifier.citationEconomic Studiesuk_UA
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.onu.edu.ua/handle/123456789/32432
dc.language.isoenuk_UA
dc.relation.ispartofseries;Vol. 31(1).
dc.subjectmigrationuk_UA
dc.subjectmigration movementuk_UA
dc.subjectmigration increaseuk_UA
dc.subjectemigrantsuk_UA
dc.subjectimmigrantsuk_UA
dc.subjectmultivariate econometric modeluk_UA
dc.subjectscenariosuk_UA
dc.subjectCovid-19uk_UA
dc.titleModeling migration changes according to alternative scenarios in the context of the global Covid-19 pandemic: the example of Ukraineuk_UA
dc.typeArticleuk_UA
Файли
Контейнер файлів
Зараз показуємо 1 - 1 з 1
Ескіз
Назва:
58-71.pdf
Розмір:
306.41 KB
Формат:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Опис:
Завантажити
Ліцензійна угода
Зараз показуємо 1 - 1 з 1
Ескіз недоступний
Назва:
license.txt
Розмір:
1.71 KB
Формат:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Опис:
Завантажити
Зібрання
Статті та доповіді ЕПФ