Перспективні тенденції для соціально-економічного розвитку: аналіз макро й мікро рівнів
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Дата
2023
Науковий керівник
Укладач
Редактор
Назва журналу
ISSN
2663-0117
E-ISSN
Назва тому
Видавець
Анотація
В умовах воєнного стану для української економіки характерним є дотримання базових вимог розвитку соціальної і фінансової сфери. У статті визначено поточні тенденції розвитку національної економіки й перспективи розвитку в умовах воєнного стану за допомогою аналізу макроекономічної статистики та визначення причин і наслідків змін певних, найбільш критичних показників. Очевидно, що соціально-економічна сфера в державі насамперед залежить від стабільності й потенціалу економічного розвитку держави загалом. З огляду на це в статті основну увагу приділено аналізу статистичних даних із подальшим виокремленням чинників, що впливають на соціально-економічний розвиток, для чого використано інструментарій PEST-аналізу, який дає змогу виокремлювати та систематизувати політичні, економічні, соціальні й технологічні чинники розвитку соціально-економічної сфери в умовах економічної нестабільності, зокрема, в умовах воєнного стану.
The Ukrainian economy under martial law is characterized by the special need to take care of the basic requirements for the development of the social and financial spheres. It is possible to determine what are the current trends in the development of the national economy and what are the prospects for its development in the conditions of martial law by conducting an analysis of macroeconomic statistics and determining the causes and consequences of changes in certain, most critical indicators. It is obvious that the socio-economic sphere in the state primarily depends on the stability and potential of the economic development of the state in general. With this in mind, the article focuses on the analysis of statistical data followed by the identification of factors that influence socio-economic development, for which the PEST analysis toolkit is used, which allows for the identification and systematization of political, economic, social and technological factors of socio-economic development areas in conditions of economic instability, in particular, in conditions of martial law. The work also focuses on the fact that even under the conditions of martial law, the state can create conditions for the development of those territories that have the prerequisites for realizing their potential, which will help other regions that were more affected by hostilities or occupation to recover faster and provide filling the budget with tax revenues. Particular attention in the work is paid to the indicators of the state debt and the identification of the risks that its growth entails, but it is specified that in the conditions of martial law, it is impossible to ensure the defense capability of the state, the survival of the economy and the development of its potential without attracting borrowed funds. Therefore, if in everyday conditions the growth of the state debt can be considered as a direct threat to the socio-economic development of the state, in the conditions of martial law its growth is not so critical, as it ensures defense capability and support of the social sphere. And this is one of the main tasks of the state in the conditions of war.
The Ukrainian economy under martial law is characterized by the special need to take care of the basic requirements for the development of the social and financial spheres. It is possible to determine what are the current trends in the development of the national economy and what are the prospects for its development in the conditions of martial law by conducting an analysis of macroeconomic statistics and determining the causes and consequences of changes in certain, most critical indicators. It is obvious that the socio-economic sphere in the state primarily depends on the stability and potential of the economic development of the state in general. With this in mind, the article focuses on the analysis of statistical data followed by the identification of factors that influence socio-economic development, for which the PEST analysis toolkit is used, which allows for the identification and systematization of political, economic, social and technological factors of socio-economic development areas in conditions of economic instability, in particular, in conditions of martial law. The work also focuses on the fact that even under the conditions of martial law, the state can create conditions for the development of those territories that have the prerequisites for realizing their potential, which will help other regions that were more affected by hostilities or occupation to recover faster and provide filling the budget with tax revenues. Particular attention in the work is paid to the indicators of the state debt and the identification of the risks that its growth entails, but it is specified that in the conditions of martial law, it is impossible to ensure the defense capability of the state, the survival of the economy and the development of its potential without attracting borrowed funds. Therefore, if in everyday conditions the growth of the state debt can be considered as a direct threat to the socio-economic development of the state, in the conditions of martial law its growth is not so critical, as it ensures defense capability and support of the social sphere. And this is one of the main tasks of the state in the conditions of war.
Опис
Ключові слова
соціально-економічний розвиток, інвестиції, робочі місця, тенденції розвитку, розвиток в умовах воєнного стану, socio-economic development, investments, jobs, development trends, development under martial law
Бібліографічний опис
Матюк Т. В. Перспективні тенденції для соціально-економічного розвитку: аналіз макро й мікро рівнів / Т. В. Матюк, Н. М. Суліма, Т. П. Фурса, Н. М. Крючкова // Наукові записки Львівського університету бізнесу та права. Серія : економічна ; юридична. – 2023. – Вип. 37. – С. 380–389.